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FTMatchday 28

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
FreiburgBayern Munich
  1. 25'Jonathan Tahyellow card
  2. Matthias Ginteryellow card29'
  3. Johan Manzambiassist Maximilian Eggestein46'
  4. 56'Jonathan Tahon
  5. 56'Raphael Guerreiroon
  6. 56'Leon Goretzkaon
  7. Christian Gunteron65'
  8. 65'Serge Gnabryon
  9. Lucas Höler71'
  10. 73'Michael Oliseyellow card
  11. Johan Manzambion78'
  12. Jan-Niklas Besteon78'
  13. 81'Tom Bischofassist Lennart Karl
  14. 87'Min-jae Kimon
  15. Lucas Höleron89'
  16. Noah Atuboluyellow card90'
  17. 90'Lennart Karlyellow card
  18. Yuito Suzukion90'
  19. 90'Tom Bischofassist Michael Olise
  20. 90'Lennart Karlassist Alphonso Davies

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgBayern Munich
  • 30%Possession70%
  • 1.82Expected goals (xG)2.80
  • 13Shots21
  • 4Shots on target9
  • 5Corners8
  • 9Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides1
  • 6Saves2
  • 257Passes636

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 3Philipp Lienhart
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Bayern Munich

  • 7Serge Gnabry
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 22Raphael Guerreiro
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 8Leon Goretzka
  • 6Joshua Kimmich
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 44Josip Stanišić
  • 3Min-jae Kim
  • 20Tom Bischof
  • 42Lennart Karl

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1561

Recent form

FreiburgLLDLW
Bayern MunichWWWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich2026-10-25
  • Bayern Munich 6–2 Freiburg2025-11-22

Match preview

Freiburg host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Freiburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LLDLW), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (WWWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Bayern Munich won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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