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FTMatchday 25

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
  1. Christian Gunteryellow card-5'
  2. Vincenzo Grifoassist Christian Gunter34'
  3. 37'Christian Kofaneassist Martin Terrier
  4. Yuito Suzukiassist Philipp Treu43'
  5. 45'Alex Grimaldo
  6. 51'Alex Grimaldoyellow card
  7. 52'Martin Terrierassist Christian Kofane
  8. Christian Gunteron62'
  9. Vincenzo Grifoon62'
  10. 66'Ibrahim Mazaon
  11. Derry Scherhantyellow card70'
  12. Johan Manzambion75'
  13. Jan-Niklas Besteon75'
  14. 75'Martin Terrieron
  15. Cyriaque Iriéyellow card78'
  16. 82'Jarell Quansahyellow card
  17. 82'Ezequiel Fernándezon
  18. 82'Ernest Pokuon
  19. Matthias Ginterassist Derry Scherhant86'
  20. 90'Robert Andrichyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 2.67Expected goals (xG)2.11
  • 21Shots17
  • 9Shots on target5
  • 5Corners2
  • 7Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves6
  • 465Passes532

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 31Igor Matanovic
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 43Bruno Ogbus
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 12Edmond Tapsoba
  • 28Janis Blaswich
  • 11Martin Terrier
  • 24Aleix García
  • 4Jarell Quansah
  • 30Ibrahim Maza
  • 19Ernest Poku
  • 6Ezequiel Fernández
  • 35Christian Kofane

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1506

Recent form

FreiburgWLWLL
Bayer LeverkusenWDWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen32+1656
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg2026-10-18
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Freiburg2025-10-26

Match preview

Freiburg host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 7 March 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WDWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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