Freiburg vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 Europa-Park Stadion
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
FreiburgDWLLW
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 1–2 Freiburg2026-10-31
- Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg2026-01-18
- Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg2025-08-23
Why the model leans Freiburg
- Freiburg rate higher on our strength scale (1518 vs 1487).
- Freiburg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Freiburg 1, Augsburg 1, draws 1.
- League table: Freiburg #4, Augsburg #12.
Match preview
Freiburg host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027. Freiburg sit 4th on 13 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLLW), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 3 meetings, Freiburg won 1, Augsburg won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Freiburg 53%, the draw 22% and Augsburg 25%, so Freiburg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
