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FTMatchday 3

Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
FenerbahçeSturm Graz
  1. Taliscaassist Kerem Aktürkoğlu9'
  2. 21'Jon Gorenc Stankovicyellow card
  3. Jayden Oosterwoldeon30'
  4. Mason Greenwoodassist Marco Asensio45'
  5. 46'Szymon Włodarczykon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1507

Recent form

FenerbahçeWD
Sturm GrazWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Fenerbahçe7-212
2Sturm Graz4+36

Head to head

  • Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe2026-08-11

Match preview

Fenerbahçe host Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League on 5 August 2026. Fenerbahçe sit 3rd on 12 points and Sturm Graz are 28th on 6. Fenerbahçe have won 1 of their last 2 (WD), while Sturm Graz have won 2 of 2 (WW). In their last 1 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, Sturm Graz won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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