FTMatchday 29

Köln vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Köln3

Werder Bremen1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

KölnWerder Bremen

Said El Malapenalty7'
24'Marco Friedlred card
Kristoffer Lund Hansenon46'
46'Yukinari Sugawaraon
46'Marco Grüllon
Ragnar Ache65'
Jan Thielmannon67'
Said El Malaon67'
Ragnar Acheyellow card71'
75'Romano Schmidpenalty
Ragnar Acheon76'
78'Leonardo Bittencourtyellow card
78'Felix Aguon
Jahmai Simpson-Puseyyellow card83'
84'Leonardo Bittencourton
Sebastian Sebulonsenon86'
90'Amos Pieperyellow card
Eric Martelyellow card90'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonassist Luca Waldschmidt90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnWerder Bremen

58%Possession42%
3.47Expected goals (xG)0.92
26Shots6
9Shots on target2
8Corners5
16Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
3Offsides3
1Saves6
491Passes348

Line-ups

Köln

1Marvin Schwabe
29Jan Thielmann
9Ragnar Ache
6Eric Martel
18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
16Jakub Kamiński
39Cenk Özkacar
32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
28Sebastian Sebulonsen
22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
13Said El Mala

Werder Bremen

10Leonardo Bittencourt
32Marco Friedl
3Yukinari Sugawara
5Amos Pieper
20Romano Schmid
17Marco Grüll
27Felix Agu
14Senne Lynen
2Olivier Deman
11Justin Njinmah
30Mio Backhaus

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1489

Recent form

KölnLLDDD

Werder BremenWWLWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Köln	32	-12	31
2	Werder Bremen	32	-23	29

Head to head

Werder Bremen 1–1 Köln2025-11-29

Match preview

Köln host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 12 April 2026. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Köln have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDD), while Werder Bremen have won 3 of 5 (WWLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.