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FTMatchday 15

Köln vs Union Berlin: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
KölnUnion Berlin
  1. Sebastian Sebulonsenyellow card13'
  2. 40'Christopher Trimmelyellow card
  3. Tom Kraußyellow card49'
  4. Ragnar Acheon58'
  5. 64'Jeong Woo-yeongon
  6. Jan Thielmannon68'
  7. Tom Kraußon68'
  8. 72'Ilyas Ansahon
  9. 72'Oliver Burkeon
  10. 73'Christopher Trimmelon
  11. 80'Aljoscha Kemleinyellow card
  12. Rav van den Bergred card82'
  13. 84'Aljoscha Kemleinon
  14. Dominique Heintzon86'
  15. Jakub Kamińskion86'
  16. 88'András Schäferyellow card
  17. 90'Frederik Rønnowyellow card
  18. 90'Josip Juranovićyellow card
  19. 90'András Schäfer

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnUnion Berlin
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 0.55Expected goals (xG)1.26
  • 13Shots11
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 3Corners6
  • 9Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 1Saves2
  • 524Passes306

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 3Dominique Heintz
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 33Rav van den Berg
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen

Union Berlin

  • 7Oliver Burke
  • 8Rani Khedira
  • 4Diogo Leite
  • 5Danilho Doekhi
  • 1Frederik Rønnow
  • 11Jeong Woo-yeong
  • 28Christopher Trimmel
  • 39Derrick Köhn
  • 14Leopold Querfeld
  • 6Aljoscha Kemlein
  • 10Ilyas Ansah

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1455

Recent form

KölnWLDDL
Union BerlinDWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Union Berlin32-1535
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Union Berlin 1–1 Köln2026-11-01
  • Union Berlin 2–2 Köln2026-05-02

Match preview

Köln host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 20 December 2025. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Union Berlin have won 2 of 5 (DWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Köln won 0, Union Berlin won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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