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FTMatchday 5

Köln vs Stuttgart: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
KölnStuttgart
  1. Jakub Kamińskiassist Ragnar Ache4'
  2. 28'Ermedin Demirovićpenalty
  3. 61'Ramon Hendrikson
  4. Ragnar Acheon63'
  5. Linton Mainaon63'
  6. Joël Schmiedyellow card67'
  7. 71'Chris Führichon
  8. 71'Tiago Tomáson
  9. Jan Thielmannon74'
  10. Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon74'
  11. Tom Kraußyellow card76'
  12. 78'Luca Jaquezyellow card
  13. 81'Josha Vagnomanassist Angelo Stiller
  14. Joël Schmiedon85'
  15. 86'Luca Jaquezon
  16. 86'Bilal El Khannouson
  17. 90'Badredine Bouananiyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnStuttgart
  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 14Shots15
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 8Corners8
  • 12Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides1
  • 3Saves5
  • 381Passes506

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 4Timo Hübers
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 37Linton Maina
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
  • 2Joël Schmied

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 9Ermedin Demirović
  • 4Josha Vagnoman
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 16Atakan Karazor
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 8Tiago Tomás
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 11Bilal El Khannous
  • 14Luca Jaquez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1517

Recent form

KölnWWDL
StuttgartLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Stuttgart 4–1 Köln2026-09-04
  • Stuttgart 3–1 Köln2026-02-14

Match preview

Köln host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 28 September 2025. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. Köln have won 2 of their last 4 (WWDL), while Stuttgart have won 2 of 4 (LWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Köln won 0, Stuttgart won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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