FTMatchday 13

Köln vs St Pauli: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Köln1

St Pauli1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

KölnSt Pauli

46'Hauke Wahlon
Said El Malaassist Luca Waldschmidt51'
68'Mathias Pereira-Lageon
68'Martijn Kaarson
73'James Sandson
Denis Huseinbasicon74'
Marius Bülteron74'
Said El Malaon82'
Tom Kraußon82'
86'Karol Metson
Luca Waldschmidton88'
90'Ricky-Jade Jonesyellow card
90'Ricky-Jade Jonesassist Danel Sinani

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnSt Pauli

57%Possession43%
2Expected goals (xG)0
11Shots5
8Shots on target1
5Corners4
6Fouls6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
0Saves6
564Passes402

Line-ups

Köln

1Marvin Schwabe
7Luca Waldschmidt
29Jan Thielmann
30Marius Bülter
5Tom Krauß
6Eric Martel
16Jakub Kamiński
8Denis Huseinbasic
33Rav van den Berg
28Sebastian Sebulonsen
13Said El Mala

St Pauli

7Jackson Irvine
28Mathias Pereira-Lage
5Hauke Wahl
8Eric Smith
16Joel Fujita
6James Sands
22Nikola Vasilj
11Arkadiusz Pyrka
3Karol Mets
19Martijn Kaars
23Louis Oppie

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1409

Recent form

KölnDLWLD

St PauliLLLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Köln	32	-12	31
2	St Pauli	32	-31	23

Head to head

St Pauli 1–1 Köln2026-04-17

Match preview

Köln host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 6 December 2025. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLD), while St Pauli have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, St Pauli won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.