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FTMatchday 21

Köln vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
KölnRB Leipzig
  1. 29'Christoph Baumgartnerassist David Raum
  2. Jan Thielmannassist Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson51'
  3. 56'Christoph Baumgartnerassist Xaver Schlager
  4. Jan Thielmannyellow card58'
  5. 64'Benjamin Henrichson
  6. 64'Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
  7. Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon68'
  8. 76'David Raumyellow card
  9. 76'Christoph Baumgartneryellow card
  10. Kristoffer Lund Hansenon78'
  11. 82'Brajan Grudaon
  12. 82'Yan Diomandeon
  13. 90'Peter Gulacsiyellow card
  14. 90'Ezechiel Banzuziyellow card
  15. Jan Thielmannon90'
  16. Ragnar Acheon90'
  17. 90'Antonio Nusaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnRB Leipzig
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.05Expected goals (xG)1.92
  • 10Shots19
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 4Corners3
  • 7Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides3
  • 2Saves1
  • 339Passes431

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 39Cenk Özkacar
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
  • 13Said El Mala

RB Leipzig

  • 1Peter Gulacsi
  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 24Xaver Schlager
  • 39Benjamin Henrichs
  • 22David Raum
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 7Antonio Nusa
  • 10Brajan Gruda
  • 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  • 49Yan Diomande

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1472

Recent form

KölnDLWLW
RB LeipzigWLWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • RB Leipzig 3–1 Köln2025-09-20

Match preview

Köln host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 8 February 2026. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Köln have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while RB Leipzig have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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