Köln vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 RheinEnergieStadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- Eric Martelyellow card18'
- 29'⚽Stefan Bellassist Danny da Costa
- 43'Jae-Sung Leeyellow card
- ⇄Cenk Özkacaron46'
- ⇄Eric Martelon46'
- ⇄Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon46'
- ⚽Ragnar Acheassist Alessio Castro-Montes57'
- 61'Silvan Widmeryellow card
- 61'⇄Silas Katompa Mvumpaon
- Marius Bülteryellow card72'
- Said El Malayellow card72'
- 72'Phillip Tietzyellow card
- 72'Daniel Batzyellow card
- ⇄Linton Mainaon73'
- 74'⇄Stefan Bellon
- 74'⇄Jae-Sung Leeon
- ⇄Alessio Castro-Monteson83'
- ⚽Ragnar Ache85'
- Tom Kraußyellow card87'
- 90'⇄Kaishu Sanoon
- 90'⇄Paul Nebelon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 62%Possession38%
- 2.08Expected goals (xG)1.52
- 20Shots10
- 6Shots on target7
- 9Corners5
- 6Fouls10
- 4Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides4
- 5Saves4
- 473Passes293
Line-ups
Köln
- 1Marvin Schwabe
- 30Marius Bülter
- 17Alessio Castro-Montes
- 37Linton Maina
- 6Eric Martel
- 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 16Jakub Kamiński
- 39Cenk Özkacar
- 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
- 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
- 13Said El Mala
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 26Silas Katompa Mvumpa
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
- 48Kacper Potulski
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
KölnDLLDL
MainzLDDDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Köln | 32 | -12 | 31 |
Head to head
- Mainz 0–1 Köln2025-08-24
Match preview
Köln host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 17 January 2026. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Köln have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Mainz have won 1 of 5 (LDDDW). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 1, Mainz won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
