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FTMatchday 9

Köln vs Hamburg: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
KölnHamburg
  1. 10'Nicolai Rembergyellow card
  2. Ragnar Ache25'
  3. Joël Schmiedon46'
  4. Florian Kainz48'
  5. 59'Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
  6. 61'Jean-Luc Dompe
  7. Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon67'
  8. Linton Mainaon67'
  9. Florian Kainzon67'
  10. Ragnar Acheon73'
  11. 74'Fábio Vieirayellow card
  12. 77'William Mikelbrencison
  13. 77'Rayan Philippeon
  14. Marius Bülteryellow card78'
  15. 78'Immanuel-Johannes Pheraiyellow card
  16. 79'Yussuf Poulsenyellow card
  17. 79'Immanuel-Johannes Pheraiyellow card
  18. 79'Immanuel-Johannes Pheraired card
  19. 83'Fábio Vieirayellow card
  20. 83'Fábio Vieirared card
  21. 90'Albert Sambi Lokongaon
  22. 90'Jean-Luc Dompeon
  23. Said El Malaassist Jakub Kamiński90'
  24. Jakub Kamińskiassist Said El Mala90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnHamburg
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 4Expected goals (xG)1
  • 23Shots11
  • 10Shots on target5
  • 2Corners3
  • 8Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards2
  • 1Offsides4
  • 4Saves5
  • 391Passes414

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 11Florian Kainz
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 37Linton Maina
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 39Cenk Özkacar
  • 8Denis Huseinbasic
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 2Joël Schmied

Hamburg

  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe
  • 14Rayan Philippe
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 8Daniel Elfadli
  • 21Nicolai Remberg

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1455

Recent form

KölnLLWDL
HamburgWDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hamburg32-1436
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Hamburg 2–1 Köln2026-09-19
  • Hamburg 1–1 Köln2026-03-14

Match preview

Köln host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 2 November 2025. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Hamburg have won 2 of 5 (WDWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Köln won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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