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FTMatchday 2

Köln vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
KölnFreiburg
  1. 29'Johan Manzambiyellow card
  2. Jakub Kamińskiassist Marius Bülter35'
  3. Eric Martelyellow card41'
  4. Timo Hüberson46'
  5. 46'Eren Dinkçion
  6. Marius Bülterassist Jan Thielmann47'
  7. Joël Schmiedyellow card55'
  8. Jan Thielmannassist Marius Bülter56'
  9. Denis Huseinbasicon59'
  10. Kristoffer Lund Hansenon68'
  11. Jan Thielmannon68'
  12. 69'Yuito Suzukion
  13. 69'Vincenzo Grifoon
  14. Marius Bülteron76'
  15. 84'Maximilian Eggesteinassist Christian Gunter
  16. 85'Lucas Höleron
  17. 85'Lukas Kübleron

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnFreiburg
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 17Shots12
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 3Corners5
  • 12Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 1Saves2
  • 352Passes556

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 30Marius Bülter
  • 4Timo Hübers
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 8Denis Huseinbasic
  • 33Rav van den Berg
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 3Philipp Lienhart
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 18Eren Dinkçi
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1518

Recent form

KölnW
FreiburgL
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Freiburg 2–1 Köln2026-01-25

Match preview

Köln host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 31 August 2025. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Köln have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Freiburg have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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