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FTMatchday 17

Köln vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
KölnBayern Munich
  1. Linton Maina41'
  2. 45'Serge Gnabryassist Michael Olise
  3. Linton Mainaon67'
  4. 67'Jonathan Tahon
  5. 67'Serge Gnabryon
  6. 71'Min-jae Kimassist Hiroki Ito
  7. Kristoffer Lund Hansenon78'
  8. Ragnar Acheon78'
  9. Said El Malaon78'
  10. 82'Michael Oliseon
  11. 84'Lennart Karlassist Luis Díaz
  12. Jan Thielmannon85'
  13. 88'Hiroki Itoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

KölnBayern Munich
  • 28%Possession72%
  • 0.65Expected goals (xG)1.31
  • 7Shots19
  • 3Shots on target8
  • 4Corners6
  • 3Fouls4
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides5
  • 5Saves2
  • 249Passes677

Line-ups

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 37Linton Maina
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 39Cenk Özkacar
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
  • 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  • 13Said El Mala

Bayern Munich

  • 7Serge Gnabry
  • 9Harry Kane
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 8Leon Goretzka
  • 27Konrad Laimer
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 17Michael Olise
  • 21Hiroki Ito
  • 3Min-jae Kim
  • 45Aleksandar Pavlović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1561

Recent form

KölnDDLLD
Bayern MunichWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Bayern Munich 5–1 Köln2026-05-16

Match preview

Köln host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 14 January 2026. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Köln have won 0 of their last 5 (DDLLD), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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