FTMatchday 13

FC Heidenheim vs Freiburg: Prediction

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FC Heidenheim2

Freiburg1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

FC HeidenheimFreiburg

Thomas Kelleryellow card13'
Benedikt Gimberyellow card37'
40'Johan Manzambiassist Philipp Treu
Thomas Kelleron46'
Benedikt Gimberon46'
46'Philipp Lienharton
Patrick Mainkaassist Marnon Busch59'
67'Johan Manzambion
67'Vincenzo Grifoon
Julian Niehueson70'
71'Julian Niehueson
Marnon Buschon83'
84'Lukas Kübleron
87'Anthony Jungyellow card
Niklas Dorschon88'
Stefan Schimmer90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FC HeidenheimFreiburg

38%Possession62%
2Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots15
3Shots on target2
8Corners6
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves1
280Passes461

Line-ups

FC Heidenheim

2Marnon Busch
5Benedikt Gimber
17Mathias Honsak
19Jonas Föhrenbach
6Patrick Mainka
30Niklas Dorsch
18Marvin Pieringer
3Jan Schöppner
41Diant Ramaj
16Julian Niehues
27Thomas Keller

Freiburg

28Matthias Ginter
8Maximilian Eggestein
3Philipp Lienhart
9Lucas Höler
17Lukas Kübler
32Vincenzo Grifo
19Jan-Niklas Beste
6Patrick Osterhage
1Noah Atubolu
29Philipp Treu
44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1433 – 1518

Recent form

FC HeidenheimDLDLW

FreiburgDLDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Freiburg	32	-8	41
2	FC Heidenheim	32	-25	25

Head to head

Freiburg 2–1 FC Heidenheim2026-04-19

Match preview

FC Heidenheim host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 6 December 2025. FC Heidenheim sit 17th on 25 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. FC Heidenheim have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDLW), while Freiburg have won 1 of 5 (DLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, FC Heidenheim won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.