FTMatchday 16

FC Heidenheim vs Köln: Prediction

📍 Voith-Arena

FC Heidenheim2

Köln2

Not enough past results yet.

Match stats

FC HeidenheimKöln

55%Possession45%
1.93Expected goals (xG)2.49
14Shots21
6Shots on target9
5Corners4
9Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
6Saves4
483Passes385

Line-ups

FC Heidenheim

19Jonas Föhrenbach
6Patrick Mainka
30Niklas Dorsch
18Marvin Pieringer
3Jan Schöppner
4Tim Siersleben
41Diant Ramaj
16Julian Niehues
31Sirlord Conteh
23Omar Traoré
22Arijon Ibrahimović

Köln

1Marvin Schwabe
29Jan Thielmann
5Tom Krauß
17Alessio Castro-Montes
9Ragnar Ache
6Eric Martel
16Jakub Kamiński
8Denis Huseinbasic
28Sebastian Sebulonsen
22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1433 – 1442

Recent form

FC HeidenheimLWWLL

KölnLDDLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Köln	32	-12	31
2	FC Heidenheim	32	-25	25

Head to head

Köln 1–3 FC Heidenheim2026-05-10

Match preview

FC Heidenheim host Köln in the Bundesliga on 10 January 2026. FC Heidenheim sit 17th on 25 points and Köln are 14th on 31. FC Heidenheim have won 2 of their last 5 (LWWLL), while Köln have won 0 of 5 (LDDLL). In their last 1 meetings, FC Heidenheim won 1, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.