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FTMatchday 20

Augsburg vs St Pauli: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
AugsburgSt Pauli
  1. Marius Wolfyellow card29'
  2. 32'Danel Sinanipenalty
  3. Michael Gregoritschassist Alexis Claude-Maurice41'
  4. Robin Fellhaueryellow card44'
  5. Arthur Chaveson46'
  6. Michael Gregoritschassist Alexis Claude-Maurice59'
  7. Fabian Riederon60'
  8. 63'Danel Sinanion
  9. 63'Ricky-Jade Joneson
  10. Noahkai Banksyellow card69'
  11. 71'Joel Fujitaon
  12. Elvis Rexhbeçajon77'
  13. Marius Wolfon77'
  14. Michael Gregoritschon84'
  15. 84'Manolis Saliakason
  16. 90'James Sandsyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AugsburgSt Pauli
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.13Expected goals (xG)2.46
  • 12Shots17
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 5Corners5
  • 15Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves4
  • 417Passes526

Line-ups

Augsburg

  • 38Michael Gregoritsch
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 31Keven Schlotterbeck
  • 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
  • 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 32Fabian Rieder
  • 19Robin Fellhauer
  • 34Arthur Chaves
  • 40Noahkai Banks

St Pauli

  • 20Mathias Rasmussen
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 10Danel Sinani
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 26Ricky-Jade Jones
  • 3Karol Mets
  • 2Manolis Saliakas
  • 15Tomoya Ando

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1409

Recent form

AugsburgDLDDW
St PauliDLLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • St Pauli 2–1 Augsburg2025-09-14

Match preview

Augsburg host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 31 January 2026. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDDW), while St Pauli have won 0 of 5 (DLLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, St Pauli won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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