Augsburg vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 14'⚽Kaishu Sano
- 16'Dominik Kohryellow card
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuwyellow card18'
- 26'⚽Dominik Kohr
- ⇄Cédric Zesigeron46'
- ⇄Marius Wolfon46'
- ⇄Elias Saadon46'
- ⇄Elvis Rexhbeçajon46'
- 53'Dominik Kohryellow card
- 53'Dominik Kohrred card
- 56'⇄Arnaud Nordinon
- 60'⚽Paul Nebelassist Kaishu Sano
- ⇄Jeffrey Gouweleeuwon67'
- 69'⚽Armindo Siebassist Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 81'⇄Phillipp Mweneon
- 81'⇄Armindo Siebon
- 81'⇄Andreas Hanche-Olsenon
- ⚽Samuel Essende83'
- 83'⇄Anthony Cacion
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1Expected goals (xG)3
- 18Shots12
- 5Shots on target4
- 6Corners6
- 13Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 2Offsides2
- 0Saves4
- 485Passes327
Line-ups
Augsburg
- 6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- 27Marius Wolf
- 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
- 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
- 5Chrislain Matsima
- 4Han-Noah Massengo
- 1Finn Dahmen
- 16Cédric Zesiger
- 32Fabian Rieder
- 26Elias Saad
- 36Mert Kömür
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 27Robin Zentner
- 21Danny da Costa
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 9Arnaud Nordin
- 19Anthony Caci
- 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 8Paul Nebel
- 11Armindo Sieb
- 6Kaishu Sano
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | -16 | 40 | |
| 2 | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–0 Augsburg2026-02-07
Match preview
Augsburg host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2025. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 3 (WLL), while Mainz have won 0 of 3 (LDL). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

