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FTMatchday 4

Augsburg vs Mainz: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
AugsburgMainz
  1. 14'Kaishu Sano
  2. 16'Dominik Kohryellow card
  3. Jeffrey Gouweleeuwyellow card18'
  4. 26'Dominik Kohr
  5. Cédric Zesigeron46'
  6. Marius Wolfon46'
  7. Elias Saadon46'
  8. Elvis Rexhbeçajon46'
  9. 53'Dominik Kohryellow card
  10. 53'Dominik Kohrred card
  11. 56'Arnaud Nordinon
  12. 60'Paul Nebelassist Kaishu Sano
  13. Jeffrey Gouweleeuwon67'
  14. 69'Armindo Siebassist Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  15. 81'Phillipp Mweneon
  16. 81'Armindo Siebon
  17. 81'Andreas Hanche-Olsenon
  18. Samuel Essende83'
  19. 83'Anthony Cacion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AugsburgMainz
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)3
  • 18Shots12
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Corners6
  • 13Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Offsides2
  • 0Saves4
  • 485Passes327

Line-ups

Augsburg

  • 6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
  • 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
  • 5Chrislain Matsima
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 16Cédric Zesiger
  • 32Fabian Rieder
  • 26Elias Saad
  • 36Mert Kömür

Mainz

  • 31Dominik Kohr
  • 27Robin Zentner
  • 21Danny da Costa
  • 10Nadiem Amiri
  • 2Phillipp Mwene
  • 9Arnaud Nordin
  • 19Anthony Caci
  • 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • 8Paul Nebel
  • 11Armindo Sieb
  • 6Kaishu Sano

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1499

Recent form

AugsburgWLL
MainzLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2Mainz32-839

Head to head

  • Mainz 2–0 Augsburg2026-02-07

Match preview

Augsburg host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2025. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 3 (WLL), while Mainz have won 0 of 3 (LDL). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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