FTMatchday 11

Augsburg vs Hamburg: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Augsburg1

Hamburg0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

AugsburgHamburg

Keven Schlotterbeckyellow card34'
38'Nicolás Capaldoyellow card
61'Nicolai Rembergyellow card
Mert Kömüron64'
Alexis Claude-Mauriceon64'
72'Fábio Vieiraon
Han-Noah Massengoon73'
Anton Kadeassist Dimitris Giannoulis76'
Keven Schlotterbeckyellow card81'
Keven Schlotterbeckred card81'
82'Jordan Torunarighaon
82'Giorgi Gocholeishvilion
Fabian Riederon83'
86'Nicolás Capaldoon
86'Albert Sambi Lokongaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AugsburgHamburg

48%Possession52%
1Expected goals (xG)1
12Shots15
6Shots on target6
4Corners3
13Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
2Offsides7
5Saves5
419Passes449

Line-ups

Augsburg

31Keven Schlotterbeck
20Alexis Claude-Maurice
5Chrislain Matsima
4Han-Noah Massengo
1Finn Dahmen
13Dimitris Giannoulis
32Fabian Rieder
30Anton Kade
19Robin Fellhauer
36Mert Kömür
40Noahkai Banks

Hamburg

7Jean-Luc Dompe
25Jordan Torunarigha
1Daniel Fernandes
6Albert Sambi Lokonga
24Nicolás Capaldo
20Fábio Vieira
11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
28Miro Muheim
16Giorgi Gocholeishvili
21Nicolai Remberg
44Luka Vušković

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1455

Recent form

AugsburgLWDLL

HamburgDWLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg	32	-16	40
2	Hamburg	32	-14	36

Head to head

Hamburg 1–1 Augsburg2026-04-04

Match preview

Augsburg host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 22 November 2025. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDLL), while Hamburg have won 1 of 5 (DWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Hamburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.