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FTMatchday 18

Augsburg vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
AugsburgFreiburg
  1. Kristijan Jakićon46'
  2. Alexis Claude-Maurice47'
  3. Elvis Rexhbeçaj49'
  4. Yannik Keitelyellow card53'
  5. 54'Johan Manzambiyellow card
  6. 56'Jordy Makengo Basambunduon
  7. 56'Vincenzo Grifoon
  8. 56'Lucas Höleron
  9. Noahkai Banksyellow card58'
  10. 60'Yuito Suzuki
  11. 62'Igor Matanovic
  12. Michael Gregoritschyellow card62'
  13. Dimitris Giannoulison63'
  14. Yannik Keitelon63'
  15. 71'Johan Manzambion
  16. Fabian Riederon75'
  17. 80'Lukas Kübleron
  18. 82'Yuito Suzukiyellow card
  19. Han-Noah Massengoon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AugsburgFreiburg
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 0.85Expected goals (xG)1.16
  • 13Shots12
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 9Corners6
  • 11Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves3
  • 335Passes421

Line-ups

Augsburg

  • 38Michael Gregoritsch
  • 31Keven Schlotterbeck
  • 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 14Yannik Keitel
  • 13Dimitris Giannoulis
  • 17Kristijan Jakić
  • 32Fabian Rieder
  • 19Robin Fellhauer
  • 40Noahkai Banks

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 31Igor Matanovic
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 43Bruno Ogbus
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1518

Recent form

AugsburgWLDLD
FreiburgLDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Augsburg32-1640

Head to head

  • Augsburg 1–2 Freiburg2026-10-31
  • Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg2025-08-23

Match preview

Augsburg host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 18 January 2026. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDLD), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (LDWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Augsburg won 1, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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