FTMatchday 9

Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Augsburg0

Borussia Dortmund1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

AugsburgBorussia Dortmund

37'Sehrou Guirassy
Dimitris Giannoulisyellow card49'
Elvis Rexhbeçajyellow card49'
62'Felix Nmechaon
62'Carney Chukwuemekaon
Mert Kömüron63'
Han-Noah Massengoon63'
Fabian Riederyellow card65'
67'Gregor Kobelyellow card
74'Maximilian Beieron
74'Yan Coutoon
Dimitris Giannoulison76'
Alexis Claude-Mauriceon81'
Robin Fellhaueron81'
Phillip Tietzyellow card82'
90'Julian Brandton

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AugsburgBorussia Dortmund

47%Possession53%
1Expected goals (xG)0
9Shots5
1Shots on target1
4Corners3
14Fouls16
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
0Saves1
437Passes495

Line-ups

Augsburg

31Keven Schlotterbeck
8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
20Alexis Claude-Maurice
5Chrislain Matsima
4Han-Noah Massengo
1Finn Dahmen
13Dimitris Giannoulis
32Fabian Rieder
19Robin Fellhauer
36Mert Kömür
40Noahkai Banks

Borussia Dortmund

10Julian Brandt
13Pascal Gross
5Ramy Bensebaini
9Sehrou Guirassy
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
14Maximilian Beier
17Carney Chukwuemeka
2Yan Couto
28Aarón Anselmino

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1538

Recent form

AugsburgLLWDL

Borussia DortmundWDLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	32	+36	71
2	Augsburg	32	-16	40

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg2026-03-14

Match preview

Augsburg host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 31 October 2025. Augsburg sit 9th on 40 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Augsburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (WDLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.