Kick-off · Sat, 26 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 17
Everton vs Sunderland: Prediction
Everton51%Home win
Sunderland51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.72 – 1.14
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1451
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLSunderlandLLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Everton 1–3 Sunderland2026-05-17
- Sunderland 1–1 Everton2025-11-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
