FTMatchday 27

Everton vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton0

Manchester United1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

EvertonManchester United

58'Amad Dialloon
71'Benjamin Šeškoassist Bryan Mbeumo
Harrison Armstrongon73'
Jordan Pickfordyellow card77'
78'Bryan Mbeumoon
Tim Iroegbunamon79'
James Tarkowskiyellow card83'
84'Harry Maguireyellow card
90'Bruno Fernandesyellow card
90'Noussair Mazraouiyellow card
90'Matheus Cunhaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonManchester United

48%Possession52%
0.63Expected goals (xG)1.27
12Shots11
4Shots on target3
10Corners1
12Fouls7
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
1Saves4
413Passes483

Line-ups

Everton

5Michael Keane
1Jordan Pickford
27Idrissa Gueye
6James Tarkowski
37James Garner
22Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
32Jarrad Branthwaite
10Iliman Ndiaye
42Tim Iroegbunam
11Thierno Barry
45Harrison Armstrong

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
5Harry Maguire
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
2Diogo Dalot
10Matheus Cunha
16Amad Diallo
19Bryan Mbeumo
31Senne Lammens
15Leny Yoro
37Kobbie Mainoo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1502

Recent form

EvertonWDDWL

Manchester UnitedWWWWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	+19	71
2	Everton	38	-3	49

Head to head

Everton 2–2 Manchester United2026-09-06
Manchester United 0–1 Everton2025-11-24

Match preview

Everton host Manchester United in the Premier League on 23 February 2026. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Everton have won 2 of their last 5 (WDDWL), while Manchester United have won 4 of 5 (WWWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Manchester United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.