Kick-off · Wed, 30 Dec, 01:45 am ISTMatchday 18
Everton vs Manchester City: Prediction
Everton53%Away win
Manchester City24% Home win23% Draw53% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.11 – 1.76
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1645
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Everton 3–3 Manchester City2026-05-04
- Manchester City 2–0 Everton2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
