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FTMatchday 23

Everton vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
EvertonLeeds United
  1. 28'James Justinassist Anton Stach
  2. Dwight McNeilon46'
  3. Harrison Armstrongon46'
  4. 54'Anton Stachyellow card
  5. 56'Ilia Gruevyellow card
  6. 66'Ilia Gruevon
  7. Nathan Pattersonon71'
  8. Thierno Barryassist Idrissa Gueye76'
  9. 85'Anton Stachon
  10. 85'Sebastiaan Bornauwon
  11. 85'Brenden Aaronsonon
  12. Thierno Barryon89'
  13. 90'Facundo Buonanotteyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonLeeds United
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 0.60Expected goals (xG)1.21
  • 10Shots14
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 4Corners4
  • 9Fouls13
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 3Saves2
  • 538Passes393

Line-ups

Everton

  • 1Jordan Pickford
  • 27Idrissa Gueye
  • 6James Tarkowski
  • 7Dwight McNeil
  • 37James Garner
  • 16Vitaliy Mykolenko
  • 2Nathan Patterson
  • 10Iliman Ndiaye
  • 15Jake O'Brien
  • 11Thierno Barry
  • 45Harrison Armstrong

Leeds United

  • 26Karl Darlow
  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 24James Justin
  • 23Sebastiaan Bornauw
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 44Ilia Gruev

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1502

Recent form

EvertonDWLDW
Leeds UnitedDDDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Everton38-349
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Leeds United 1–0 Everton2025-08-18

Match preview

Everton host Leeds United in the Premier League on 26 January 2026. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Everton have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLDW), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (DDDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Everton won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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