Everton vs Chelsea: Prediction
📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Betoassist James Garner33'
- 46'⇄Malo Gustoon
- 57'⇄Roméo Laviaon
- ⚽Betoassist Idrissa Gueye62'
- 69'Alejandro Garnachoyellow card
- 70'⇄Pedro Netoon
- ⚽Iliman Ndiayeassist Beto76'
- ⇄Dwight McNeilon78'
- 78'⇄Moisés Caicedoon
- 78'⇄João Pedroon
- ⇄Betoon81'
- 87'Wesley Fofanayellow card
- ⇄Iliman Ndiayeon89'
- ⇄Kiernan Dewsbury-Hallon89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 36%Possession64%
- 1.18Expected goals (xG)0.93
- 10Shots12
- 9Shots on target4
- 3Corners9
- 6Fouls7
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 4Saves5
- 392Passes690
Line-ups
Everton
- 5Michael Keane
- 1Jordan Pickford
- 27Idrissa Gueye
- 6James Tarkowski
- 7Dwight McNeil
- 37James Garner
- 16Vitaliy Mykolenko
- 22Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
- 10Iliman Ndiaye
- 9Beto
- 15Jake O'Brien
Chelsea
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 20João Pedro
- 7Pedro Neto
- 3Marc Cucurella
- 29Wesley Fofana
- 27Malo Gusto
- 25Moisés Caicedo
- 10Cole Palmer
- 45Roméo Lavia
- 8Enzo Fernández
- 21Jorrel Hato
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
EvertonLLWWL
ChelseaDDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
| 2 | Everton | 38 | -3 | 49 |
Head to head
- Everton 0–2 Chelsea2026-10-17
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton2025-12-13
Match preview
Everton host Chelsea in the Premier League on 21 March 2026. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Everton have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWL), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (DDLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 0, Chelsea won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
