Kick-off · Sat, 24 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Everton41%Away win
Brighton and Hove Albion34% Home win25% Draw41% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.32 – 1.48
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1564
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Everton2026-01-31
- Everton 2–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-08-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
