FTMatchday 20

Everton vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton2

Brentford4

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals

EvertonBrentford

11'Igor Thiagoassist Vitaly Janelt
31'Yehor Yarmolyukyellow card
39'Michael Kayodeyellow card
Tyler-Jay Diblingon46'
Dwight McNeilon46'
50'Nathan Michael Collinsassist Vitaly Janelt
51'Igor Thiagoassist Kevin Schade
64'Mathias Jensenon
64'Kevin Schadeon
Betoassist Jack Grealish66'
76'Aaron Hickeyon
Tim Iroegbunamon77'
88'Igor Thiagoassist Nathan Michael Collins
90'Igor Thiagoon
Thierno Barryassist Jack Grealish90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonBrentford

45%Possession55%
0.89Expected goals (xG)2.66
14Shots11
6Shots on target7
4Corners5
9Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
3Saves4
364Passes455

Line-ups

Everton

18Jack Grealish
5Michael Keane
1Jordan Pickford
6James Tarkowski
7Dwight McNeil
37James Garner
16Vitaliy Mykolenko
42Tim Iroegbunam
15Jake O'Brien
11Thierno Barry
20Tyler-Jay Dibling

Brentford

20Kristoffer Ajer
1Caoimhín Kelleher
24Mikkel Damsgaard
2Aaron Hickey
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
22Nathan Michael Collins
7Kevin Schade
33Michael Kayode
18Yehor Yarmolyuk
9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1541

Recent form

EvertonWLLDW

BrentfordLDWWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brentford	38	+3	53
2	Everton	38	-3	49

Head to head

Brentford 2–2 Everton2026-04-11

Match preview

Everton host Brentford in the Premier League on 4 January 2026. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Everton have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Brentford have won 2 of 5 (LDWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Everton won 0, Brentford won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.