Kick-off · Sat, 17 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 32
Everton vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Everton39%Home win
Bournemouth39% Home win25% Draw36% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.44 – 1.36
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1531
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 1–1 Everton2026-08-29
- Everton 1–2 Bournemouth2026-02-10
- Bournemouth 0–1 Everton2025-12-02
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
