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FTMatchday 26

Everton vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
EvertonBournemouth
  1. Iliman Ndiayepenalty42'
  2. 57'Rayanyellow card
  3. 58'Evanilsonon
  4. 58'Alex Tóthon
  5. 61'Rayanassist Adrien Truffert
  6. Thierno Barryon62'
  7. Tyrique Georgeon62'
  8. 64'Amine Adliassist James Hill
  9. Betoyellow card66'
  10. Jake O'Brienred card69'
  11. 80'Ryan Christieon
  12. 80'Amine Adlion
  13. 81'David Brooksyellow card
  14. 90'Álex Jiménezyellow card
  15. Vitaliy Mykolenkoon90'
  16. 90'Rayanon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonBournemouth
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2.83Expected goals (xG)1.33
  • 15Shots11
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 7Corners2
  • 14Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 2Saves5
  • 440Passes393

Line-ups

Everton

  • 1Jordan Pickford
  • 27Idrissa Gueye
  • 6James Tarkowski
  • 37James Garner
  • 16Vitaliy Mykolenko
  • 22Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
  • 32Jarrad Branthwaite
  • 10Iliman Ndiaye
  • 15Jake O'Brien
  • 11Thierno Barry
  • 19Tyrique George

Bournemouth

  • 10Ryan Christie
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 21Amine Adli
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 20Álex Jiménez
  • 37Rayan
  • 27Alex Tóth

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1482

Recent form

EvertonDWDDW
BournemouthWDWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Everton38-349

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 1–1 Everton2026-08-29
  • Bournemouth 0–1 Everton2025-12-02

Match preview

Everton host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 10 February 2026. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Everton have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDDW), while Bournemouth have won 3 of 5 (WDWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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