Kick-off · Wed, 6 Jan, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 20
Everton vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Everton40%Home win
Aston Villa40% Home win25% Draw35% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.47 – 1.34
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1522
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 0–1 Everton2026-01-18
- Everton 0–0 Aston Villa2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
