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FTMatchday 4

Everton vs Aston Villa: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
EvertonAston Villa
  1. 34'Matty Cashyellow card
  2. Tim Iroegbunamyellow card45'
  3. 46'Youri Tielemanson
  4. 57'Lucas Digneyellow card
  5. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hallyellow card65'
  6. Tim Iroegbunamon66'
  7. Jack Grealishyellow card69'
  8. 70'Emiliano Buendiayellow card
  9. 71'Emiliano Buendiaon
  10. Betoon75'
  11. 83'Lamare Bogardeon
  12. 83'Ollie Watkinson

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonAston Villa
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 20Shots6
  • 2Shots on target1
  • 10Corners3
  • 17Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 1Saves2
  • 337Passes384

Line-ups

Everton

  • 18Jack Grealish
  • 5Michael Keane
  • 1Jordan Pickford
  • 27Idrissa Gueye
  • 6James Tarkowski
  • 37James Garner
  • 22Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
  • 10Iliman Ndiaye
  • 9Beto
  • 42Tim Iroegbunam
  • 15Jake O'Brien

Aston Villa

  • 23Emiliano Martinez
  • 5Tyrone Mings
  • 10Emiliano Buendia
  • 12Lucas Digne
  • 8Youri Tielemans
  • 11Ollie Watkins
  • 7John McGinn
  • 2Matty Cash
  • 4Ezri Konsa
  • 27Morgan Rogers
  • 26Lamare Bogarde

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1526

Recent form

EvertonLWWW
Aston VillaDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa38+765
2Everton38-349

Head to head

  • Aston Villa 0–1 Everton2026-01-18

Match preview

Everton host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 13 September 2025. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Everton have won 3 of their last 4 (LWWW), while Aston Villa have won 0 of 3 (DLL). In their last 1 meetings, Everton won 1, Aston Villa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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