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FTMatchday 17

Everton vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
EvertonArsenal
  1. Vitaliy Mykolenkoyellow card26'
  2. 27'Viktor Gyökerespenalty
  3. James Tarkowskiyellow card39'
  4. 56'Viktor Gyökeresyellow card
  5. 65'Viktor Gyökereson
  6. Thierno Barryon66'
  7. Dwight McNeilon75'
  8. Carlos Alcarazon76'
  9. 80'Leandro Trossardon
  10. 88'Martin Ødegaardon
  11. 89'Gabriel Martinelliyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

EvertonArsenal
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 0Expected goals (xG)2
  • 5Shots13
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 2Corners3
  • 4Fouls5
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 0Saves1
  • 339Passes654

Line-ups

Everton

  • 18Jack Grealish
  • 5Michael Keane
  • 1Jordan Pickford
  • 6James Tarkowski
  • 7Dwight McNeil
  • 37James Garner
  • 16Vitaliy Mykolenko
  • 42Tim Iroegbunam
  • 24Carlos Alcaraz
  • 15Jake O'Brien
  • 11Thierno Barry

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 19Leandro Trossard
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 2William Saliba
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori
  • 5Piero Hincapié

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1532

Recent form

EvertonWLWWL
ArsenalWDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Everton38-349

Head to head

  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton2026-10-24
  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton2026-03-14

Match preview

Everton host Arsenal in the Premier League on 20 December 2025. Everton sit 13th on 49 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Everton have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWL), while Arsenal have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 0, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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