Kick-off · Sun, 7 Feb, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 23
Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
Espanyol39%Home win
Rayo Vallecano39% Home win26% Draw35% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.34 – 1.27
Team rating (Elo)1438 – 1486
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | -7 | 9 | |
| 2 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol2026-09-15
- Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol2026-04-23
- Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-12-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.