Kick-off · Matchday 31
Espanyol vs Málaga: Prediction
Espanyol44%Home win
Málaga44% Home win26% Draw30% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.47 – 1.15
Team rating (Elo)1438 – 1445
Recent form
EspanyolLDLLWMálagaLLDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanyol | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 2 | Málaga | 9 | -10 | 5 |
Head to head
- Málaga 1–1 Espanyol2026-10-09
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
