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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Espanyol vs Getafe: Prediction

Espanyol
42%Home win
Getafe

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.41 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1438 – 1464

Recent form

EspanyolLDLLW
GetafeLWLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Getafe9-79
2Espanyol10-48

Head to head

  • Espanyol 1–2 Getafe2026-03-21
  • Getafe 0–1 Espanyol2025-12-13

Match preview

Espanyol host Getafe in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Espanyol sit 17th on 8 points and Getafe are 16th on 9. Espanyol have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLLW), while Getafe have won 1 of 5 (LWLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Espanyol won 1, Getafe won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Espanyol 42%, the draw 26% and Getafe 32%, so Espanyol are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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