Elversberg vs Union Berlin: Prediction
📍 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ElversbergDLWLW
Union BerlinLWDDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elversberg | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg2026-10-10
Why the model leans Elversberg
- Elversberg rate higher on our strength scale (1519 vs 1455).
- Elversberg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Union Berlin won 1 of their last 5.
- League table: Elversberg #5, Union Berlin #15.
- Expected goals from the model: Elversberg 2.0, Union Berlin 1.2.
Match preview
Elversberg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Elversberg sit 5th on 13 points and Union Berlin are 15th on 7. Elversberg have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (LWDDD). In their last 1 meetings, Elversberg won 0, Union Berlin won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Elversberg 57%, the draw 21% and Union Berlin 22%, so Elversberg are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
