Elversberg vs Schalke 04: Prediction
📍 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ElversbergDLWLW
Schalke 04DLLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elversberg | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Schalke 04 0–0 Elversberg2026-09-20
Why the model leans Elversberg
- Elversberg rate higher on our strength scale (1519 vs 1456).
- Elversberg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
- League table: Elversberg #5, Schalke 04 #18.
- Expected goals from the model: Elversberg 2.0, Schalke 04 1.2.
Match preview
Elversberg host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027. Elversberg sit 5th on 13 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Elversberg have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Elversberg won 0, Schalke 04 won 0 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Elversberg 57%, the draw 21% and Schalke 04 22%, so Elversberg are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
