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Kick-off · Matchday 19

Elversberg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Prediction

📍 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.08 – 1.15
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1444

Recent form

ElversbergDLWLW
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Elversberg7+113
2Borussia Mönchengladbach7-64

Head to head

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Elversberg2026-09-05

Why the model leans Elversberg

  • Elversberg rate higher on our strength scale (1519 vs 1444).
  • Elversberg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of their last 5.
  • League table: Elversberg #5, Borussia Mönchengladbach #17.
  • Expected goals from the model: Elversberg 2.1, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2.

Match preview

Elversberg host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027. Elversberg sit 5th on 13 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 17th on 4. Elversberg have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of 5 (LLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Elversberg won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Elversberg 59%, the draw 21% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 20%, so Elversberg are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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