Elche vs Villarreal: Prediction
📍 Estadio Martínez Valero
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 7'⚽Alberto Moleiroassist Georges Mikautadze
- 13'⚽Georges Mikautadzeassist Nicolas Pépé
- ⚽Martim Carvalho Netoassist Aleix Febas30'
- 39'Ayoze Pérezyellow card
- Germán Valerayellow card50'
- ⇄David Affengruberon61'
- Aleix Febasyellow card66'
- Pedro Bigasyellow card66'
- 66'Santi Comesañayellow card
- 67'⇄Ayoze Pérezon
- 68'⇄Nicolas Pépéon
- ⇄Marc Aguadoon71'
- 76'⇄Georges Mikautadzeon
- 76'⇄Daniel Parejoon
- ⇄Álvaro Núñezon79'
- ⇄Martim Carvalho Netoon79'
- ⇄Rafa Miron79'
- 80'⇄Santiago Mouriñoon
- 83'⚽Alfonso Pedrazaassist Sergi Cardona
- 88'Sergi Cardonayellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 78%Possession22%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 14Shots12
- 2Shots on target4
- 6Corners2
- 8Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 1Saves1
- 775Passes220
Line-ups
Elche
- 10Rafa Mir
- 6Pedro Bigas
- 14Aleix Febas
- 23Víctor Chust
- 22David Affengruber
- 11Germán Valera
- 8Marc Aguado
- 13Iñaki Peña
- 20Álvaro Rodríguez
- 16Martim Carvalho Neto
- 15Álvaro Núñez
Villarreal
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 4Rafa Marín
- 26Pau Navarro
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ElcheDLWLW
VillarrealWLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 35 | +23 | 66 |
| 2 | Elche | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 0–0 Elche2026-10-17
- Villarreal 2–1 Elche2026-03-08
Match preview
Elche host Villarreal in the La Liga on 3 January 2026. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Elche have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Villarreal have won 3 of 5 (WLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
