Elche vs Valencia: Prediction
📍 Estadio Martínez Valero
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Buba Sangaréyellow card59'
- 60'⇄Luis Riojaon
- 61'⇄Umar Sadiqon
- 63'Guido Rodríguezyellow card
- ⇄Buba Sangaréon64'
- ⇄André Silvaon64'
- ⇄Gonzalo Villaron72'
- ⇄Martim Carvalho Netoon72'
- ⚽Lucas Cepedaassist Aleix Febas73'
- 75'⇄Eray Cömerton
- 75'⇄Jose Luis Gayaon
- 81'⇄Lucas Beltránon
- ⇄Germán Valeraon82'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 57%Possession43%
- 0.59Expected goals (xG)2.54
- 8Shots22
- 2Shots on target8
- 5Corners9
- 15Fouls18
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides3
- 7Saves2
- 441Passes313
Line-ups
Elche
- 10Rafa Mir
- 9André Silva
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 15Tete Morente
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22David Affengruber
- 1Matías Dituro
- 21Léo Pétrot
- 11Germán Valera
- 16Martim Carvalho Neto
- 42Buba Sangaré
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 12Thierry Correia
- 23Filip Ugrinic
- 2Guido Rodríguez
- 6Umar Sadiq
- 24Eray Cömert
- 17Largie Ramazani
- 15Lucas Beltrán
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ElcheLLLWL
ValenciaLWLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
| 2 | Elche | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Elche 0–1 Valencia2026-11-01
- Valencia 1–1 Elche2026-01-10
Match preview
Elche host Valencia in the La Liga on 11 April 2026. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWL), while Valencia have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Valencia won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
