Kick-off · Sun, 13 Dec, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 16
Elche vs Sevilla: Prediction
Elche45%Home win
Sevilla45% Home win26% Draw29% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.49 – 1.14
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1481
Recent form
ElcheLWDDWSevillaWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Elche | 9 | -3 | 9 |
Head to head
- Elche 2–2 Sevilla2026-01-19
- Sevilla 2–2 Elche2025-09-12
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
