Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 4

Elche vs Real Sociedad: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ElcheReal Sociedad
  1. 9'Jon Aramburuyellow card
  2. 11' Job Ochiengassist Carlos Soler
  3. 31'Yangel Herreraassist Job Ochieng
  4. Tete Morenteyellow card43'
  5. Ezequiel Ponceon55'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1519

Recent form

ElcheLWDLL
Real SociedadLDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Sociedad9+419
2Elche9-39

Head to head

  • Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche2026-02-07
  • Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad2025-11-07

Match preview

Elche host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 7 September 2026. Elche sit 14th on 9 points and Real Sociedad are 5th on 19. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDLL), while Real Sociedad have won 1 of 5 (LDLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Sociedad won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming