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FTMatchday 12

Elche vs Real Sociedad: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ElcheReal Sociedad
  1. 56'Jon Aramburuyellow card
  2. Álvaro Rodríguezassist Álvaro Núñez57'
  3. 64'Goncalo Guedeson
  4. 64'Takefusa Kuboon
  5. David Affengruberyellow card73'
  6. Álvaro Rodríguezon74'
  7. Josanon74'
  8. 75'Carlos Soleron
  9. 75'Brais Méndezon
  10. 79'Arsen Zakharyanyellow card
  11. 81'Sergio Gómezon
  12. Marc Aguadoon84'
  13. Víctor Chuston84'
  14. 89'Mikel Oyarzabalpenalty
  15. 90'Jon Gorrotxategiyellow card
  16. Rodrigo Mendozaon90'
  17. Rafa Miron90'
  18. 90'Jon Aramburuon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheReal Sociedad
  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 12Shots13
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 1Corners3
  • 14Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 579Passes335

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 3Adrià Pedrosa
  • 17Josan
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 15Álvaro Núñez
  • 30Rodrigo Mendoza

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 5Igor Zubeldia
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 14Takefusa Kubo
  • 2Jon Aramburu
  • 31Jon Martín
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1510

Recent form

ElcheWLDLL
Real SociedadLLDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Elche35-840
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad2026-09-07
  • Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche2026-02-07

Match preview

Elche host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 7 November 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDLL), while Real Sociedad have won 2 of 5 (LLDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Sociedad won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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