Elche vs Real Oviedo: Prediction
📍 Estadio Martínez Valero
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽André Silva9'
- Pedro Bigasyellow card37'
- David Affengruberyellow card38'
- 58'⇄Josip Brekaloon
- 58'⇄Haissem Hassanon
- 59'Leander Dendonckeryellow card
- 65'⇄Nacho Vidalon
- 66'Salomón Rondónyellow card
- 71'⇄Kwasi Siboon
- 71'⇄Luka Ilićon
- ⇄Martim Carvalho Netoon72'
- ⇄Germán Valeraon72'
- ⇄Josanon78'
- ⇄Rafa Miron87'
- ⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 15Shots12
- 5Shots on target4
- 3Corners3
- 9Fouls18
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 4Saves4
- 601Passes372
Line-ups
Elche
- 10Rafa Mir
- 9André Silva
- 6Pedro Bigas
- 17Josan
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22David Affengruber
- 11Germán Valera
- 13Iñaki Peña
- 16Martim Carvalho Neto
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 30Rodrigo Mendoza
Real Oviedo
- 23Salomón Rondón
- 20Leander Dendoncker
- 18Josip Brekalo
- 22Nacho Vidal
- 12Dani Calvo
- 21Luka Ilić
- 13Aarón Escandell
- 16David Carmo
- 10Haissem Hassan
- 3Rahim Alhassane
- 6Kwasi Sibo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -8 | 40 | |
| 2 | 35 | -30 | 28 |
Head to head
- Real Oviedo 1–2 Elche2026-04-26
Match preview
Elche host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 21 September 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. Elche have won 1 of their last 3 (DWD), while Real Oviedo have won 1 of 3 (LWL). In their last 1 meetings, Elche won 1, Real Oviedo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

