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FTMatchday 6

Elche vs Real Madrid: Prediction

Elche2
FT
Real Madrid3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ElcheReal Madrid
  1. 4'Yan Diomandeyellow card
  2. 25'Matías Dituroown goal
  3. Marc Aguadoyellow card31'
  4. 33'Kylian Mbappéassist Yan Diomande
  5. Marc Aguadoon58'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1557

Recent form

ElcheDLLLD
Real MadridWWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid9+1221
2Elche9-39

Head to head

  • Real Madrid 4–1 Elche2026-03-14

Match preview

Elche host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 15 September 2026. Elche sit 14th on 9 points and Real Madrid are 3rd on 21. Elche have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLLD), while Real Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming