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FTMatchday 3

Elche vs Levante: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ElcheLevante
  1. 39'Adrián de la Fuenteyellow card
  2. 45'Jeremy Toljanyellow card
  3. Rafa Mirassist Álvaro Rodríguez46'
  4. Rodrigo Mendozaassist Pedro Bigas51'
  5. Rodrigo Mendozayellow card58'
  6. 62'Jorge Cabelloon
  7. Rafa Miron65'
  8. 68'Jeremy Toljanon
  9. 68'Carlos Álvarezon
  10. Marc Aguadoon70'
  11. Álvaro Rodríguezon70'
  12. 84'Iván Romeroon
  13. 84'Manu Sánchezon
  14. Germán Valeraon86'
  15. Rodrigo Mendozaon86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheLevante
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 16Shots11
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 4Corners2
  • 14Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 1Saves3
  • 566Passes271

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 15Álvaro Núñez
  • 30Rodrigo Mendoza

Levante

  • 22Jeremy Toljan
  • 13Mathew Ryan
  • 23Manu Sánchez
  • 10Pablo Martínez
  • 9Iván Romero
  • 5Unai Elgezabal
  • 7Roger Brugué
  • 20Oriol Rey
  • 4Adrián de la Fuente
  • 14Jorge Cabello
  • 24Carlos Álvarez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1470

Recent form

ElcheD
LevanteL
#TeamPGDPts
1Elche35-840
2Levante35-1439

Head to head

  • Levante 3–2 Elche2026-01-23

Match preview

Elche host Levante in the La Liga on 29 August 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Levante are 19th on 39. Elche have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Levante have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Elche won 0, Levante won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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