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FTMatchday 15

Elche vs Girona: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
ElcheGirona
  1. 17'Bryan Gilyellow card
  2. Germán Valeraassist Héctor Fort40'
  3. Grady Dianganaon46'
  4. Rafa Mirassist Héctor Fort51'
  5. Rafa Mir57'
  6. Héctor Forton59'
  7. Pedro Bigason59'
  8. 66'Yáser Asprillaon
  9. 66'Vladyslav Vanaton
  10. 66'Axel Witselon
  11. Germán Valeraon71'
  12. 72'Alejandro Francéson
  13. Marc Aguadoon82'
  14. 83'Viktor Tsygankovon
  15. 87'Iván Martínyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheGirona
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots8
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 2Corners2
  • 18Fouls13
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 4Saves3
  • 543Passes399

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 19Grady Diangana
  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 13Iñaki Peña
  • 39Héctor Fort
  • 15Álvaro Núñez

Girona

  • 17Daley Blind
  • 13Paulo Gazzaniga
  • 20Axel Witsel
  • 15Viktor Tsygankov
  • 24Álex Moreno
  • 21Bryan Gil
  • 23Iván Martín
  • 16Alejandro Francés
  • 10Yáser Asprilla
  • 19Vladyslav Vanat
  • 12Vitor Reis

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1478

Recent form

ElcheDLLDL
GironaLDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Elche35-840
2Girona35-1040

Head to head

  • Girona 1–1 Elche2026-05-23

Match preview

Elche host Girona in the La Liga on 7 December 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Girona are 16th on 40. Elche have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Girona have won 1 of 5 (LDLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Elche won 0, Girona won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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