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FTMatchday 7

Elche vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
ElcheCelta Vigo
  1. 17'Óscar Minguezayellow card
  2. André Silvaassist Josan18'
  3. 22'Borja Iglesiasassist Ilaix Moriba
  4. 46'Ilaix Moribaon
  5. 46'Óscar Minguezaon
  6. 57'Yoel Lagoyellow card
  7. Josanyellow card64'
  8. André Silvaon64'
  9. 67'Bryan Zaragozaon
  10. John Donald68'
  11. David Affengruberyellow card70'
  12. Adrià Pedrosayellow card72'
  13. Adrià Pedrosaon73'
  14. Pedro Bigason73'
  15. 73'Yoel Lagoon
  16. Josanon81'
  17. Rafa Miron81'
  18. 82'Marcos Alonsoon
  19. 85'Miguel Rományellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheCelta Vigo
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 17Shots8
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 7Corners2
  • 12Fouls20
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides3
  • 1Saves6
  • 572Passes357

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 9André Silva
  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 3Adrià Pedrosa
  • 17Josan
  • 18John Donald
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 15Álvaro Núñez

Celta Vigo

  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 7Borja Iglesias
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 3Óscar Mingueza
  • 6Ilaix Moriba
  • 24Carlos Domínguez
  • 22Hugo Sotelo
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza
  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 29Yoel Lago
  • 16Miguel Román

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1492

Recent form

ElcheDWDWD
Celta VigoLDDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo35+347
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo2026-10-11
  • Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche2026-05-03

Match preview

Elche host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 28 September 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Elche have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWD), while Celta Vigo have won 0 of 5 (LDDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Celta Vigo won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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