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FTMatchday 2

Elche vs Barcelona: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ElcheBarcelona
  1. 14'Raphinhapenalty
  2. Ali Houaryyellow card33'
  3. 45'Gavion
  4. 45'Karim Adeyemiassist Raphinha
  5. Marc Aguadoon64'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1525

Recent form

ElcheLDLWD
BarcelonaWWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona10+3227
2Elche9-39

Head to head

  • Elche 1–3 Barcelona2026-01-31
  • Barcelona 3–1 Elche2025-11-02

Match preview

Elche host Barcelona in the La Liga on 23 August 2026. Elche sit 14th on 9 points and Barcelona are 1st on 27. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWD), while Barcelona have won 3 of 5 (WWLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Barcelona won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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