Elche vs Barcelona: Prediction
📍 Estadio Martínez Valero
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 6'⚽Lamine Yamalassist Dani Olmo
- ⚽Álvaro Rodríguezassist Germán Valera29'
- John Donaldyellow card38'
- 40'⚽Ferran Torresassist Frenkie de Jong
- 46'⇄Raphinhaon
- ⇄Marc Aguadoon56'
- ⇄Grady Dianganaon60'
- ⇄André Silvaon60'
- 62'⇄Ferran Torreson
- 62'⇄Dani Olmoon
- 72'⚽Marcus Rashford
- ⇄David Affengruberon74'
- ⇄Álvaro Rodríguezon74'
- Rodrigo Mendozayellow card76'
- 84'⇄Jules Koundéon
- 85'⇄Fermínon
- 90'Frenkie de Jongyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 39%Possession61%
- 0.95Expected goals (xG)6.30
- 9Shots30
- 3Shots on target8
- 2Corners8
- 15Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 5Offsides2
- 4Saves2
- 347Passes550
Line-ups
Elche
- 9André Silva
- 19Grady Diangana
- 3Adrià Pedrosa
- 18John Donald
- 23Víctor Chust
- 22David Affengruber
- 11Germán Valera
- 8Marc Aguado
- 13Iñaki Peña
- 20Álvaro Rodríguez
- 30Rodrigo Mendoza
Barcelona
- 11Raphinha
- 7Ferran Torres
- 23Jules Koundé
- 21Frenkie de Jong
- 20Dani Olmo
- 24Eric García
- 3Alejandro Balde
- 13Joan García
- 10Lamine Yamal
- 16Fermín
- 5Pau Cubarsí
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +51 | 85 | |
| 2 | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Elche 0–5 Barcelona2026-08-23
- Barcelona 3–1 Elche2025-11-02
Match preview
Elche host Barcelona in the La Liga on 31 January 2026. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Barcelona have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Barcelona won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

