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FTMatchday 22

Elche vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
ElcheBarcelona
  1. 6'Lamine Yamalassist Dani Olmo
  2. Álvaro Rodríguezassist Germán Valera29'
  3. John Donaldyellow card38'
  4. 40'Ferran Torresassist Frenkie de Jong
  5. 46'Raphinhaon
  6. Marc Aguadoon56'
  7. Grady Dianganaon60'
  8. André Silvaon60'
  9. 62'Ferran Torreson
  10. 62'Dani Olmoon
  11. 72'Marcus Rashford
  12. David Affengruberon74'
  13. Álvaro Rodríguezon74'
  14. Rodrigo Mendozayellow card76'
  15. 84'Jules Koundéon
  16. 85'Fermínon
  17. 90'Frenkie de Jongyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheBarcelona
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 0.95Expected goals (xG)6.30
  • 9Shots30
  • 3Shots on target8
  • 2Corners8
  • 15Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 347Passes550

Line-ups

Elche

  • 9André Silva
  • 19Grady Diangana
  • 3Adrià Pedrosa
  • 18John Donald
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 13Iñaki Peña
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 30Rodrigo Mendoza

Barcelona

  • 11Raphinha
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 21Frenkie de Jong
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 13Joan García
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 16Fermín
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1540

Recent form

ElcheWLDDL
BarcelonaWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Elche 0–5 Barcelona2026-08-23
  • Barcelona 3–1 Elche2025-11-02

Match preview

Elche host Barcelona in the La Liga on 31 January 2026. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Elche have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Barcelona have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Barcelona won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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